CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-05-19T19:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31042/-1
CME Note: Narrow CME visible to the east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The potential source is the M2.5 flare starting at 2024-05-19T17:47Z from AR 3685 (S10E33). An eruption can be best seen in SDO AIA 304 following the flare. It is also visible in SDO AIA 193 and STEREO A EUV 195. Possible arrival signature is characterized by a drop in temperature and rotation of two magnetic field components; at 05:55Z there is the beginning of a drop in temperature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-05-22T05:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-05-22T23:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 35.33 hour(s)
Difference: -17.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-05-20T18:20Z
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